NYC Mayoral Election
NYC Mayoral Election
Live forecast from the world's largest prediction market.
Election in
days
hrs
min
sec
Mamdani 86%
Cuomo 11%
Sliwa <1%
Mamdani Breakdown
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Chance of event
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
87%
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?
20%
Will Andrew Cuomo drop out?
4%
Will Curtis Sliwa get less than 10% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?
36%
Will Andrew Cuomo get more than 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?
48%
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?
62%
Will Trump endorse a candidate for NYC Mayor?
11%
Will Eric Adams drop out first?
100%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
37%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
28%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
56%
Will Adelita Grijalva win AZ-07 by between 35% and 40%?
99%
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?
74%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
45%
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
55%
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
50%
Will the Democratic candidate win the NYC mayoral election?
89%
Will Cuomo endorse Eric Adams?
4%
Democratic sweep?
76%
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?
49%
Will Zohran Mamdani win 4 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?
68%
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 27–30%?
22%
Will Obama endorse Mamdani?
16%
Zohran Mamdani Parlay
47%
Will Eric Adams finish his term as NYC mayor?
96%
